Kolkata Knight RidersversusDelhi Capitals

29 Apr 2025 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 14 runs

Kolkata Knight Riders20.0 overs204/9 Delhi Capitals20.0 overs190/9 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 42%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 0% to 66%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.2: SP Narine to AR Patel, AR Patel out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 34% to 49%.
2nd inns 13.6: SP Narine to T Stubbs, T Stubbs out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 53% to 70%.
2nd inns 15.2: SP Narine to F du Plessis, F du Plessis out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 73% to 88%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders204/9 Delhi Capitals190/9

Innings 1