OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Sachintha Wijayatunga
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
India tour of Sri Lanka · 2024 · Men
7 Aug 2024 · ODI
R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 32%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (India: 0% to 70%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Rishabh Pant · Axar Patel 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Axar Patel | 45 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 69.23 |
| Avishka Fernandolbw · Riyan Parag 9 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Riyan Parag | 96 | 102 | 9 | 2 | 94.12 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Shubman Gill · Kuldeep Yadav 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Kuldeep Yadav | 59 | 82 | 4 | 0 | 71.95 |
| Charith Asalankalbw · Riyan Parag 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Riyan Parag | 10 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 83.33 |
| Sadeera Samarawickramalbw · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| bowled · b Washington Sundar |
| 8 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Dunith Wellalagebowled · Riyan Parag 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Riyan Parag | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Kamindu Mendisnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 19 | 0 | 1 | 121.05 |
|---|
| Mahesh Theekshananot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 78 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Shivam Dube0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Axar Patel1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 41 | 1 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 3.63 | 0 | 0 |
 Kuldeep Yadav0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Riyan Parag0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 54 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-89 (Pathum Nissanka, 19.5) · 2-171 (Avishka Fernando, 35.3) · 3-183 (Charith Asalanka, 38.0) · 4-184 (Sadeera Samarawickrama, 38.5) · 5-196 (Janith Liyanage, 42.4) · 6-199 (Dunith Wellalage, 43.3) · 7-235 (Kusal Mendis, 48.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 28/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 34/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 41/0 |
| 11 | 10 | 51/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 51/0 |
| 13 | 13 | 64/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 65/0 |
| 15 | 3 | 68/0 |
| 16 | 7 | 75/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 77/0 |
| 18 | 8 | 85/0 |
| 19 | 3 | 88/0 |
| 20 | 1 | 89/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 92/1 |
| 22 | 2 | 94/1 |
| 23 | 3 | 97/1 |
| 24 | 6 | 103/1 |
| 25 | 4 | 107/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 109/1 |
| 27 | 6 | 115/1 |
| 28 | 6 | 121/1 |
| 29 | 19 | 140/1 |
| 30 | 3 | 143/1 |
| 31 | 10 | 153/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 153/1 |
| 33 | 3 | 156/1 |
| 34 | 3 | 159/1 |
| 35 | 6 | 165/1 |
| 36 | 8 | 173/2 |
| 37 | 2 | 175/2 |
| 38 | 8 | 183/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 184/4 |
| 40 | 4 | 188/4 |
| 41 | 6 | 194/4 |
| 42 | 1 | 195/4 |
| 43 | 2 | 197/5 |
| 44 | 6 | 203/6 |
| 45 | 4 | 207/6 |
| 46 | 5 | 212/6 |
| 47 | 5 | 217/6 |
| 48 | 12 | 229/6 |
| 49 | 6 | 235/7 |
| 50 | 13 | 248/7 |
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kuldeep Yadav: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
