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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
13 Mar 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 42%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Netherlands: 47% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane Greenlbw · Aryan Dutt 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aryan Dutt | 19 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 44.19 |
| Niko Davincaught · Bas de Leede · Kyle Klein 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Kyle Klein | 14 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 73.68 |
| Jan Frylinckbowled · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
| Gerhard Erasmusbowled · Paul van Meekeren 3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Paul van Meekeren | 63 | 102 | 3 | 3 | 61.76 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatonlbw · Aryan Dutt 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aryan Dutt | 9 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 60.00 |
 |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught and bowled · b Zach Lion-Cachet |
| 15 |
| 30 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| JJ Smitcaught · Bas de Leede · Kyle Klein 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Kyle Klein | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmanncaught · Scott Edwards · Paul van Meekeren 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Paul van Meekeren | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Shaun Fouchébowled · Paul van Meekeren 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Paul van Meekeren | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtznot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tangeni Lungamenibowled · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Klein | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein4 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 1.58 | 2 | 0 |
 Timm van der Gugten1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 2.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 3.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul van Meekeren1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 33 | 3 | 3.67 | 1 | 1 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Max O'Dowd0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25.00 | 5 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Niko Davin, 6.1) · 2-37 (Jan Frylinck, 12.1) · 3-42 (Zane Green, 14.4) · 4-56 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 19.0) · 5-116 (Malan Kruger, 31.3) · 6-129 (JJ Smit, 34.4) · 7-134 (Ruben Trumpelmann, 39.1) · 8-136 (Shaun Fouché, 40.0) · 9-145 (Gerhard Erasmus, 43.4) · 10-148 (Tangeni Lungameni, 44.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 27/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 27/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 27/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 30/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 34/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 37/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 14 | 2 | 41/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 42/3 |
| 16 | 0 | 42/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 52/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 56/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 59/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 60/4 |
| 22 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 23 | 25 | 90/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 92/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 92/4 |
| 26 | 3 | 95/4 |
| 27 | 6 | 101/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 104/4 |
| 29 | 5 | 109/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 111/4 |
| 31 | 1 | 112/4 |
| 32 | 6 | 118/5 |
| 33 | 1 | 119/5 |
| 34 | 9 | 128/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 129/6 |
| 36 | 1 | 130/6 |
| 37 | 1 | 131/6 |
| 38 | 2 | 133/6 |
| 39 | 1 | 134/6 |
| 40 | 2 | 136/8 |
| 41 | 1 | 137/8 |
| 42 | 1 | 138/8 |
| 43 | 1 | 139/8 |
| 44 | 9 | 148/9 |
| 45 | 0 | 148/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
