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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
5 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 44%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 1% to 90% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 10% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Wildermuthbowled · Sean Abbott 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Sean Abbott | 31 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 182.35 |
| Lachlan Hearnelbw · Jack Edwards 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jack Edwards | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Josh Philippe · Ben Dwarshuis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Ben Dwarshuis | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Silk · b Hayden Kerr | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Max Bryantcaught · Daniel Hughes · Ben Dwarshuis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Hughes |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| Hugh Weibgenrun out · Josh Philippe, Ben Dwarshuis · Sean Abbott 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Josh Philippe, Ben Dwarshuis | 24 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 96.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sean Abbott | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettcaught and bowled · Joel Davies 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Joel Davies | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemannbowled · Joel Davies 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Joel Davies | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Oliver Pattersonnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 23 | 1 | 0 | 82.61 |
|---|
| Thomas Balkinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 1 | |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Manenti0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Joel Davies0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-27 (Lachlan Hearne, 3.0) · 2-33 (Jack Wildermuth, 4.0) · 3-37 (Matt Renshaw, 5.5) · 4-43 (Max Bryant, 7.1) · 5-50 (Nathan McSweeney, 8.0) · 6-72 (James Peirson, 11.5) · 7-73 (Xavier Bartlett, 12.3) · 8-74 (Matthew Kuhnemann, 12.4) · 9-91 (Hugh Weibgen, 16.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 37/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 43/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 50/5 |
| 9 | 6 | 56/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 58/5 |
| 11 | 8 | 66/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 73/6 |
| 13 | 2 | 75/8 |
| 14 | 4 | 79/8 |
| 15 | 5 | 84/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 89/8 |
| 17 | 7 | 96/9 |
| 18 | 4 | 100/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 106/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 114/9 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.