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Bangladesh tour of Pakistan · 2024 · Men
30 Aug 2024 · Test
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquebowled · Taskin Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saim Ayubstumped · Litton Das · Mehedi Hasan 4 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Litton Das · b Mehedi Hasan | 58 | 110 | 4 | 2 | 52.73 |
 Shan Masoodlbw · Mehedi Hasan2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mehedi Hasan | 57 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 82.61 |
 Mohammad Babar Azam |
| lbw · b Shakib Al Hasan |
| 31 |
| 77 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 40.26 |
 Saud Shakeelbowled · Taskin Ahmed2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 16 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · Nahid Rana2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Najmul Hossain Shanto · b Nahid Rana | 29 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 46.03 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Shakib Al Hasan · Taskin Ahmed 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shakib Al Hasan · b Taskin Ahmed | 54 | 95 | 3 | 2 | 56.84 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadcaught · Shakib Al Hasan · Mehedi Hasan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shakib Al Hasan · b Mehedi Hasan | 12 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 29.27 |
|---|
| Mohammad Alicaught · Shadman Islam · Mehedi Hasan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadman Islam · b Mehedi Hasan | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
 Abrar Ahmedstumped · Litton Das · Mehedi Hasan0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Litton Das · b Mehedi Hasan | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
 Mir Hamzanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taskin Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 2 | 57 | 3 | 3.35 | 0 | 0 |
 Hasan Mahmud1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 60 | 0 | 4.29 | 0 | 1 |
 Nahid Rana1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 1 | 58 | 1 | 3.87 | 1 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.1 | 2 | 61 | 5 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Shakib Al Hasan3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 34 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Abdullah Shafique, 1.0) · 2-107 (Shan Masood, 27.2) · 3-122 (Saim Ayub, 33.3) · 4-151 (Saud Shakeel, 43.0) · 5-179 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 53.2) · 6-211 (Mohammad Rizwan, 64.2) · 7-236 (Khurram Shehzad, 75.4) · 8-246 (Mohammad Ali, 79.5) · 9-274 (Salman Ali Agha, 85.0) · 10-274 (Abrar Ahmed, 85.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 15/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 15/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 22/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 25/1 |
| 10 | 13 | 38/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 48/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 57/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 64/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 67/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 18 | 1 | 72/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 76/1 |
| 20 | 2 | 78/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 82/1 |
| 22 | 7 | 89/1 |
| 23 | 5 | 94/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 96/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 99/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 102/1 |
| 27 | 4 | 106/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 109/2 |
| 29 | 6 | 115/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 118/2 |
| 31 | 0 | 118/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 119/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 121/2 |
| 34 | 3 | 124/3 |
| 35 | 3 | 127/3 |
| 36 | 5 | 132/3 |
| 37 | 4 | 136/3 |
| 38 | 0 | 136/3 |
| 39 | 1 | 137/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 139/3 |
| 41 | 1 | 140/3 |
| 42 | 3 | 143/3 |
| 43 | 8 | 151/4 |
| 44 | 3 | 154/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 155/4 |
| 46 | 1 | 156/4 |
| 47 | 4 | 160/4 |
| 48 | 2 | 162/4 |
| 49 | 2 | 164/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 165/4 |
| 51 | 2 | 167/4 |
| 52 | 4 | 171/4 |
| 53 | 7 | 178/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 179/5 |
| 55 | 4 | 183/5 |
| 56 | 4 | 187/5 |
| 57 | 2 | 189/5 |
| 58 | 2 | 191/5 |
| 59 | 1 | 192/5 |
| 60 | 1 | 193/5 |
| 61 | 3 | 196/5 |
| 62 | 6 | 202/5 |
| 63 | 7 | 209/5 |
| 64 | 1 | 210/5 |
| 65 | 5 | 215/6 |
| 66 | 1 | 216/6 |
| 67 | 1 | 217/6 |
| 68 | 4 | 221/6 |
| 69 | 5 | 226/6 |
| 70 | 1 | 227/6 |
| 71 | 2 | 229/6 |
| 72 | 2 | 231/6 |
| 73 | 0 | 231/6 |
| 74 | 4 | 235/6 |
| 75 | 0 | 235/6 |
| 76 | 1 | 236/7 |
| 77 | 3 | 239/7 |
| 78 | 3 | 242/7 |
| 79 | 1 | 243/7 |
| 80 | 3 | 246/8 |
| 81 | 1 | 247/8 |
| 82 | 1 | 248/8 |
| 83 | 9 | 257/8 |
| 84 | 7 | 264/8 |
| 85 | 10 | 274/9 |
| 86 | 0 | 274/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shakib Al Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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