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Mongolia Women tour of Indonesia · 2024 · Women
24 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mongolia started on 8%; Mongolia batted first.
Mongolia's chances ranged from 0% to 8% during the match (Indonesia: 92% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Khaliunaacaught and bowled · NKD Murtiari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b NKD Murtiari | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| O Erdenebaatarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 63 | 0 | 0 | 23.81 |
| J Erdenesuvdbowled · NKDP Putri 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b NKDP Putri | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8.33 |
| T Ariuntsetseglbw · NKDP Putri 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b NKDP Putri | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| B Ichinkhorloorun out · DA Sasrikayoni · L Qiao 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · DA Sasrikayoni | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| G Anujincaught · IGASF Pratiwi · SI Bara1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · IGASF Pratiwi · b SI Bara |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| G Urjindulamlbw · NKD Murtiari 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b NKD Murtiari | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 13.33 |
|---|
| O Amarjargalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 22 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKD Murtiari1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| NKDP Putri2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1.75 | 2 | 0 |
| SI Bara1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.00 | 2 | 0 |
| L Qiao0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
| R Rohmalia0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3.00 | 5 | 0 |
| JRD Ngana0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 4 | 1 |
| NW Sariani0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 5 | 0 |
1-0 (E Khaliunaa, 0.1) · 2-2 (J Erdenesuvd, 3.2) · 3-2 (T Ariuntsetseg, 3.4) · 4-6 (B Ichinkhorloo, 5.3) · 5-16 (G Anujin, 8.3) · 6-42 (G Urjindulam, 16.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 2/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 3/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 7/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 9/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 15/4 |
| 9 | 2 | 17/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 19/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 22/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 24/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 27/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 34/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 37/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 42/5 |
| 17 | 0 | 42/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 44/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 46/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 51/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.