Texas Super KingsversusLos Angeles Knight Riders

12 Jul 2026 · T20

Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Los Angeles Knight Riders won by 6 wickets

Texas Super Kings20.0 overs171/9 Los Angeles Knight Riders19.1 overs172/4 Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Texas Super Kings started on 48%; Texas Super Kings batted first.

Texas Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Los Angeles Knight Riders is the rest

Texas Super Kings's chances ranged from 0% to 65% during the match (Los Angeles Knight Riders: 36% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.5: SP Narine to SR Mukkamalla, SR Mukkamalla out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 50% to 63%.
11.4: SC van Schalkwyk to D Ferreira, D Ferreira out. Los Angeles Knight Riders up from 40% to 52%.
2nd inns 12.5: AJ Hosein to ADS Fletcher, ADS Fletcher out. Texas Super Kings up from 26% to 38%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Texas Super Kings171/9 Los Angeles Knight Riders172/4

Innings 1