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ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy · 2025/26 · Women
23 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 37%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Scotland: 55% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozarun out · Ailsa Lister · Priyanaz Chatterji 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ailsa Lister | 13 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 92.86 |
| Theertha Satishcaught · Ellen Watson · Olivia Bell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellen Watson · b Olivia Bell | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Rinitha Rajithcaught · Sarah Bryce · Rachel Slater 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Bryce · b Rachel Slater | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · Ailsa Lister · Katherine Fraser 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ailsa Lister · b Katherine Fraser | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Lavanya Kenybowled · Katherine Fraser 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Katherine Fraser | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 38.46 |
| MD Bothalbw · Abtaha Maqsood 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abtaha Maqsood | 14 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Udeni Donarun out · Ailsa Lister, Sarah Bryce · Katherine Fraser 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ailsa Lister, Sarah Bryce | 12 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| S Dharnidharkarun out · Sarah Bryce, Olivia Bell · Priyanaz Chatterji 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Sarah Bryce, Olivia Bell | 17 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 89.47 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| ATS Silvanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Olivia Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Hannah Rainey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Theertha Satish, 1.4) · 2-18 (Rinitha Rajith, 3.0) · 3-19 (Esha Oza, 3.3) · 4-32 (Heena Hotchandani, 6.2) · 5-39 (Lavanya Keny, 8.2) · 6-59 (MD Botha, 13.3) · 7-74 (Udeni Dona, 16.3) · 8-89 (S Dharnidharka, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 20/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 33/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 36/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 39/5 |
| 10 | 3 | 42/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 47/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 51/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 57/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 61/6 |
| 15 | 3 | 64/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 73/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 75/7 |
| 18 | 10 | 85/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 88/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 93/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.