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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
11 Jul 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographSurrey started on 43%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 12% to 98% during the match (The Blaze: 2% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryony Smithcaught · Heather Graham · Kathryn Bryce 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Heather Graham · b Kathryn Bryce | 18 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
| Alice Davidson-Richardscaught · Marie Kelly · Kirstie Gordon 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marie Kelly · b Kirstie Gordon | 27 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 117.39 |
| Kira Chathlicaught · Marie Kelly · Sarah Glenn 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marie Kelly · b Sarah Glenn | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 105.56 |
 Grace Harriscaught · Michaela Kirk · Sarah Glenn1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michaela Kirk · b Sarah Glenn | 26 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 136.84 |
| Emma Jonesbowled · Sarah Glenn 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Sarah Glenn |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| Alice Monaghanrun out · J Groves, Sarah Bryce · Sarah Glenn 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · J Groves, Sarah Bryce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Phoebe Franklinlbw · Heather Graham 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Heather Graham | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Kalea Moorebowled · Heather Graham 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Heather Graham | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Ryana MacDonald-Gaynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Alexa Stonehousebowled · Cassidy McCarthy 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cassidy McCarthy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Danielle Gregorynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy McCarthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Kirstie Gordon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Grace Ballinger0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Sarah Glenn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-44 (Alice Davidson-Richards, 7.2) · 2-52 (Bryony Smith, 9.0) · 3-91 (Grace Harris, 13.5) · 4-97 (Emma Jones, 15.2) · 5-98 (Kira Chathli, 15.4) · 6-99 (Alice Monaghan, 15.5) · 7-118 (Phoebe Franklin, 17.4) · 8-119 (Kalea Moore, 18.0) · 9-122 (Alexa Stonehouse, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 21/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 29/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 39/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 44/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 47/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 52/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 60/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 68/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 77/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 87/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 92/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 97/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 99/6 |
| 17 | 13 | 112/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 119/8 |
| 19 | 4 | 123/9 |
| 20 | 9 | 132/9 |
Grace Harris: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Elwiss: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Glenn: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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