Kolkata Knight RidersversusSunrisers Hyderabad

3 Apr 2025 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 80 runs

Kolkata Knight Riders20.0 overs200/6 Sunrisers Hyderabad16.4 overs120/10 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 57%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 0% to 65%).

Biggest swings

1.5: PJ Cummins to Q de Kock, Q de Kock out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 37% to 48%.
2.3: Mohammed Shami to SP Narine, SP Narine out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 50% to 62%.
2nd inns 0.2: VG Arora to TM Head, TM Head out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 72% to 82%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders200/6 Sunrisers Hyderabad120/10

Innings 1