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Nordic Women T20 Cup · 2024 · Women
11 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 64%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 0% to 88% during the match (Guernsey: 12% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Goradbowled · A Le Ray 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Le Ray | 22 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 64.71 |
| Nayab Alizairun out · M Robinson, Rosie Davis · M Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Robinson, Rosie Davis | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 43.75 |
| Ayesha Hasanrun out · Emily Merrien, K De La Mare · M Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Emily Merrien, K De La Mare | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
| R Immadirun out · Emily Merrien · Emily Merrien 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Emily Merrien | 27 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
| Nayab Razwancaught · R Merrien · Emily Merrien 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Merrien · b Emily Merrien | 18 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
| run out · Rosie Davis, K De La Mare |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Mirab Razwanlbw · C Jennings 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b C Jennings | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| DS Gamagecaught · PJ Stahelin · A Davis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · PJ Stahelin · b A Davis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Alina Aslamnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Lopamudranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 28 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Jennings0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Emily Merrien0 maidens · 6 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 6 | 3 |
| R Hubbard0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 1 |
| A Le Ray0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 4 | 0 |
| M Robinson0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.57 | 7 | 1 |
| A Davis0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 4 | 0 |
1-36 (Nayab Alizai, 7.0) · 2-47 (Ayesha Hasan, 8.5) · 3-47 (AS Gorad, 9.2) · 4-101 (R Immadi, 15.1) · 5-104 (Nayab Razwan, 15.4) · 6-119 (VB Viyala, 17.2) · 7-132 (Mirab Razwan, 18.5) · 8-138 (DS Gamage, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 31/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 47/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 51/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 64/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 72/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 77/3 |
| 14 | 15 | 92/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 100/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 104/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 111/5 |
| 18 | 13 | 124/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 132/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 141/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.