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Pakistan tour of South Africa · 2024/25 · Men
3 Jan 2025 · Test
Newlands, Cape Town · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Khurram Shehzad3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Khurram Shehzad | 17 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 42.50 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Mohammad Abbas · Mir Hamza29 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Mohammad Abbas · b Mir Hamza | 259 | 343 | 29 | 3 | 75.51 |
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 27.78 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Salman Ali Agha 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Salman Ali Agha |
| 0 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Temba Bavumacaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Salman Ali Agha9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Salman Ali Agha | 106 | 179 | 9 | 2 | 59.22 |
|---|
| David Bedinghamcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Mohammad Abbas | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 26.32 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnecaught · Aamer Jamal · Salman Ali Agha 9 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Aamer Jamal · b Salman Ali Agha | 100 | 147 | 9 | 5 | 68.03 |
|---|
 Marco Jansencaught · Mohammad Babar Azam · Mir Hamza8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Mohammad Babar Azam · b Mir Hamza | 62 | 54 | 8 | 3 | 114.81 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Khurram Shehzad4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Khurram Shehzad | 40 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 114.29 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Kwena Maphakabowled · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Abbas | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 1 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Abbas1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 27.3 | 1 | 94 | 3 | 3.42 | 0 | 1 |
 Mir Hamza3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 30.0 | 3 | 127 | 2 | 4.23 | 0 | 1 |
| Khurram Shehzad4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.0 | 4 | 123 | 2 | 4.92 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamer Jamal0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 20.0 | 0 | 110 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Salman Ali Agha4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 38.0 | 4 | 148 | 3 | 3.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamran Ghulam0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-61 (Aiden Markram, 15.2) · 2-70 (Wiaan Mulder, 20.5) · 3-72 (Tristan Stubbs, 22.5) · 4-307 (Temba Bavuma, 76.4) · 5-323 (David Bedingham, 83.4) · 6-471 (Kyle Verreynne, 120.3) · 7-557 (Ryan Rickelton, 131.4) · 8-572 (Marco Jansen, 135.4) · 9-614 (Keshav Maharaj, 141.0) · 10-615 (Kwena Maphaka, 141.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 14/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 19/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 30/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 34/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 38/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 41/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 44/0 |
| 12 | 8 | 52/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 53/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 53/0 |
| 15 | 7 | 60/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 62/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 62/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 62/1 |
| 19 | 4 | 66/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 67/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 71/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 72/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 77/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 78/3 |
| 26 | 9 | 87/3 |
| 27 | 1 | 88/3 |
| 28 | 2 | 90/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 92/3 |
| 30 | 9 | 101/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 102/3 |
| 32 | 10 | 112/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 114/3 |
| 34 | 8 | 122/3 |
| 35 | 8 | 130/3 |
| 36 | 2 | 132/3 |
| 37 | 9 | 141/3 |
| 38 | 9 | 150/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 153/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 155/3 |
| 41 | 5 | 160/3 |
| 42 | 3 | 163/3 |
| 43 | 4 | 167/3 |
| 44 | 1 | 168/3 |
| 45 | 2 | 170/3 |
| 46 | 5 | 175/3 |
| 47 | 4 | 179/3 |
| 48 | 1 | 180/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 181/3 |
| 50 | 3 | 184/3 |
| 51 | 1 | 185/3 |
| 52 | 6 | 191/3 |
| 53 | 2 | 193/3 |
| 54 | 5 | 198/3 |
| 55 | 10 | 208/3 |
| 56 | 2 | 210/3 |
| 57 | 6 | 216/3 |
| 58 | 3 | 219/3 |
| 59 | 3 | 222/3 |
| 60 | 7 | 229/3 |
| 61 | 6 | 235/3 |
| 62 | 14 | 249/3 |
| 63 | 4 | 253/3 |
| 64 | 2 | 255/3 |
| 65 | 7 | 262/3 |
| 66 | 2 | 264/3 |
| 67 | 5 | 269/3 |
| 68 | 1 | 270/3 |
| 69 | 6 | 276/3 |
| 70 | 1 | 277/3 |
| 71 | 3 | 280/3 |
| 72 | 6 | 286/3 |
| 73 | 2 | 288/3 |
| 74 | 5 | 293/3 |
| 75 | 2 | 295/3 |
| 76 | 10 | 305/3 |
| 77 | 3 | 308/4 |
| 78 | 3 | 311/4 |
| 79 | 3 | 314/4 |
| 80 | 2 | 316/4 |
| 81 | 4 | 320/4 |
| 82 | 2 | 322/4 |
| 83 | 0 | 322/4 |
| 84 | 2 | 324/5 |
| 85 | 6 | 330/5 |
| 86 | 1 | 331/5 |
| 87 | 6 | 337/5 |
| 88 | 1 | 338/5 |
| 89 | 1 | 339/5 |
| 90 | 0 | 339/5 |
| 91 | 4 | 343/5 |
| 92 | 7 | 350/5 |
| 93 | 11 | 361/5 |
| 94 | 1 | 362/5 |
| 95 | 8 | 370/5 |
| 96 | 5 | 375/5 |
| 97 | 4 | 379/5 |
| 98 | 5 | 384/5 |
| 99 | 5 | 389/5 |
| 100 | 6 | 395/5 |
| 101 | 0 | 395/5 |
| 102 | 10 | 405/5 |
| 103 | 1 | 406/5 |
| 104 | 2 | 408/5 |
| 105 | 4 | 412/5 |
| 106 | 17 | 429/5 |
| 107 | 0 | 429/5 |
| 108 | 0 | 429/5 |
| 109 | 2 | 431/5 |
| 110 | 2 | 433/5 |
| 111 | 7 | 440/5 |
| 112 | 3 | 443/5 |
| 113 | 8 | 451/5 |
| 114 | 1 | 452/5 |
| 115 | 4 | 456/5 |
| 116 | 2 | 458/5 |
| 117 | 2 | 460/5 |
| 118 | 0 | 460/5 |
| 119 | 4 | 464/5 |
| 120 | 7 | 471/5 |
| 121 | 0 | 471/6 |
| 122 | 6 | 477/6 |
| 123 | 0 | 477/6 |
| 124 | 11 | 488/6 |
| 125 | 6 | 494/6 |
| 126 | 4 | 498/6 |
| 127 | 8 | 506/6 |
| 128 | 14 | 520/6 |
| 129 | 11 | 531/6 |
| 130 | 15 | 546/6 |
| 131 | 3 | 549/6 |
| 132 | 8 | 557/7 |
| 133 | 2 | 559/7 |
| 134 | 7 | 566/7 |
| 135 | 2 | 568/7 |
| 136 | 4 | 572/8 |
| 137 | 1 | 573/8 |
| 138 | 6 | 579/8 |
| 139 | 18 | 597/8 |
| 140 | 13 | 610/8 |
| 141 | 4 | 614/9 |
| 142 | 1 | 615/10 |
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mir Hamza: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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