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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 60%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Kent: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Fred Klaassen · Jacob Lintott3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Jacob Lintott | 18 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 85.71 |
 Will Jackscaught · Jacob Lintott · Keith Dudgeon0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Keith Dudgeon | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Fred Klaassen · Matt Milnes2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Matt Milnes | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Sam Currancaught · Harry Finch · Jacob Lintott1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Harry Finch · b Jacob Lintott |
| 14 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 116.67 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Dian Forrester · Fred Klaassen0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dian Forrester · b Fred Klaassen | 16 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Laurie Evanscaught · Dian Forrester · Jacob Lintott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dian Forrester · b Jacob Lintott | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Keith Dudgeon · Fred Klaassen3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Keith Dudgeon · b Fred Klaassen | 32 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 152.38 |
|---|
 Jordan Clarkrun out · Harry Finch, Sam Billings, Fred Klaassen · Fred Klaassen0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Harry Finch, Sam Billings, Fred Klaassen | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Tom Lawesnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 11 | 0 | 1 | 118.18 |
|---|
 Reece Topleyrun out · Fred Klaassen · Fred Klaassen0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Fred Klaassen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Yousef Majidcaught · Jacob Lintott · Keith Dudgeon 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Keith Dudgeon | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Dudgeon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.74 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Will Jacks, 1.0) · 2-26 (Ollie Pope, 4.1) · 3-44 (Sam Curran, 6.5) · 4-47 (Jason Roy, 8.1) · 5-53 (Laurie Evans, 10.2) · 6-97 (Tom Curran, 16.1) · 7-98 (Daniel Lawrence, 16.3) · 8-106 (Jordan Clark, 18.3) · 9-106 (Reece Topley, 18.4) · 10-116 (Yousef Majid, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 45/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 47/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 47/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 53/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 57/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 64/5 |
| 13 | 12 | 76/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 82/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 91/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 97/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 100/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 104/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 112/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 116/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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