Sunrisers HyderabadversusKolkata Knight Riders

25 May 2025 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 110 runs

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs278/3 Kolkata Knight Riders18.4 overs168/10 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 42%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 0% to 62%).

Biggest swings

1.2: A Nortje to TM Head, six by TM Head. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 38% to 43%.
1.5: A Nortje to Abhishek Sharma, four by Abhishek Sharma. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 47% to 56%.
6.5: SP Narine to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 15% to 22%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad278/3 Kolkata Knight Riders168/10

Innings 1