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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 53%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardbowled · Jack Leaning 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jack Leaning | 11 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 84.62 |
| Daniel Hughesbowled · Joey Evison 6 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Joey Evison | 48 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 171.43 |
| Tom Clarklbw · Nathan Gilchrist 3 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Nathan Gilchrist | 43 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 172.00 |
| James Colesbowled · Joey Evison 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Joey Evison | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 240.00 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Sam Billings · Fred Klaassen2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Fred Klaassen | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 136.36 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Tom Rogers · Nathan Gilchrist 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Nathan Gilchrist | 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Danny Lambcaught · Sam Billings · Nathan Gilchrist 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Nathan Gilchrist | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 58.33 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewbowled · Tom Rogers 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Rogers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsonnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Tymal Millsrun out · Sam Billings · Fred Klaassen1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sam Billings | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
 Henry Crocombenot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 5 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 2 wides · 4 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 2 | 4 |
 Jack Leaning0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Harrison Ward, 4.1) · 2-112 (Daniel Hughes, 10.0) · 3-128 (James Coles, 11.4) · 4-130 (Tom Clark, 12.1) · 5-154 (Tom Alsop, 14.5) · 6-161 (John Simpson, 16.4) · 7-168 (Nathan McAndrew, 17.3) · 8-171 (Danny Lamb, 18.1) · 9-189 (Tymal Mills, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 58/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 68/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 81/1 |
| 9 | 16 | 97/1 |
| 10 | 15 | 112/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 125/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 130/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 133/4 |
| 14 | 13 | 146/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 155/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 160/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 163/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 170/7 |
| 19 | 15 | 185/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 195/9 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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