Lucknow Super GiantsversusGujarat Titans

7 Apr 2024 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lucknow Super Giants won by 33 runs

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs163/5 Gujarat Titans18.5 overs130/10 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 51%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 21% to 100% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 0% to 79%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 8.1: KH Pandya to B Sai Sudharsan, B Sai Sudharsan out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 49% to 64%.
2nd inns 8.5: KH Pandya to BR Sharath, BR Sharath out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 64% to 79%.
2nd inns 12.1: KH Pandya to DG Nalkande, DG Nalkande out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 76% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants163/5 Gujarat Titans130/10

Innings 1