Kolkata Knight RidersversusMumbai Indians

31 Mar 2025 · T20

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Mumbai Indians won by 8 wickets

Kolkata Knight Riders16.2 overs116/10 Mumbai Indians12.5 overs121/2 Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Kolkata Knight Riders started on 56%; Kolkata Knight Riders batted first.

Kolkata Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Kolkata Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 44% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.4: TA Boult to SP Narine, SP Narine out. Mumbai Indians up from 45% to 60%.
5.4: DL Chahar to VR Iyer, VR Iyer out. Mumbai Indians up from 64% to 79%.
6.6: HH Pandya to A Raghuvanshi, A Raghuvanshi out. Mumbai Indians up from 77% to 90%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Kolkata Knight Riders116/10 Mumbai Indians121/2

Innings 1