PakistanversusIreland

31 May 2026 · T20

Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Ireland won by 7 wickets

Pakistan20.0 overs176/6 Ireland19.1 overs177/3 Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Ireland more likely to win

27%Pakistan73%Ireland

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Ireland rate stronger than Pakistan (1,668 vs 1,515 on our results rating)
Ireland are playing at home in Ireland
In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, Pakistan won 6 and Ireland won 4

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Pakistan started on 26%; Pakistan batted first.

Pakistan’s chance of winning (%) · Ireland is the rest

Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Ireland: 29% to 100%).

Biggest swings

4.5: A Canning to Gull Feroza, Gull Feroza out. Ireland up from 53% to 61%.
2nd inns 4.5: Rameen Shamim to A Dalzell, A Dalzell out. Pakistan up from 40% to 53%.
2nd inns 11.5: Ayesha Zafar to A Hunter, A Hunter out. Pakistan up from 40% to 54%.

Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Pakistan176/6 Ireland177/3

Innings 1

Pakistan

176/620.0 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Pakistan batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Muneeba Alicaught · Rebecca Stokell · Alana Dalzell 8 fours · 3 sixes	caught · Rebecca Stokell · b Alana Dalzell	65	41	8	3	158.54
Gull Ferozacaught · Arlene Kelly · Ava Canning 6 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Arlene Kelly · b Ava Canning	32	15	6	0	213.33
Ayesha Zafarcaught · Orla Prendergast · Arlene Kelly 1 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Orla Prendergast · b Arlene Kelly	6	8	1	0	75.00
Saira Jabeencaught · A Tector · Ava Canning 4 fours · 0 sixes	caught · A Tector · b Ava Canning	36	33	4	0	109.09
Fatima Sanacaught · Amy Hunter · Orla Prendergast 2 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Amy Hunter · b Orla Prendergast	21	14	2	0	150.00

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	WD
Ava Canning1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	1	35	2	8.75	0
Alana Dalzell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	31	1	10.33	1
Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	26	1	6.50	3
Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls	3.0	0	25	1	8.33	1
Aimee Maguire0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	4.0	0	40	0	10.00	0
Cara Murray0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	2.0	0	13	0	6.50	0

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	0	0/0
2	12	12/0
3	16	28/0
4	5	33/0
5	12	45/1
6	11	56/1
7	1	57/2
8	6	63/2
9	15	78/2
10	8	86/2
11	2	88/2
12	16	104/2
13	11	115/2
14	8	123/2
15	11	134/2
16	14	148/3
17	7	155/4
18	9	164/4
19	9	173/4
20	3	176/6

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