OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: DaHuzyBru
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of Australia · 2025 · Men
19 Aug 2025 · ODI
Cazalys Stadium, Cairns · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
South Africa started on 33%; South Africa batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markramcaught · Josh Inglis · Ben Dwarshuis9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Ben Dwarshuis | 82 | 81 | 9 | 0 | 101.23 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Travis Head3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Travis Head | 33 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 76.74 |
 Temba Bavumabowled · Ben Dwarshuis5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Dwarshuis | 65 | 74 | 5 | 0 | 87.84 |
| Matthew Breetzkecaught · Aaron Hardie · Adam Zampa 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Aaron Hardie · b Adam Zampa |
South Africa's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Australia: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 57 |
| 56 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 101.79 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Cameron Green · Travis Head 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Travis Head | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Dewald Breviscaught · Alex Carey · Travis Head 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Travis Head | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldernot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 31* | 26 | 2 | 1 | 119.23 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajcaught · Cameron Green · Travis Head2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Travis Head | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Prenelan Subrayenrun out · Travis Head · Travis Head 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Travis Head | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Nandre Burgernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Josh Hazlewood1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 53 | 2 | 5.89 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 5.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 57 | 4 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 5.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-92 (Ryan Rickelton, 16.5) · 2-131 (Aiden Markram, 23.3) · 3-223 (Matthew Breetzke, 39.5) · 4-224 (Tristan Stubbs, 40.2) · 5-230 (Dewald Brevis, 40.4) · 6-266 (Temba Bavuma, 45.4) · 7-284 (Keshav Maharaj, 48.3) · 8-285 (Prenelan Subrayen, 49.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 25/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 13 | 54/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 56/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 62/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 67/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 71/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 76/0 |
| 15 | 4 | 80/0 |
| 16 | 5 | 85/0 |
| 17 | 7 | 92/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 95/1 |
| 19 | 11 | 106/1 |
| 20 | 8 | 114/1 |
| 21 | 5 | 119/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 124/1 |
| 23 | 6 | 130/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 132/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 133/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 136/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 139/2 |
| 28 | 10 | 149/2 |
| 29 | 6 | 155/2 |
| 30 | 5 | 160/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 164/2 |
| 32 | 5 | 169/2 |
| 33 | 10 | 179/2 |
| 34 | 5 | 184/2 |
| 35 | 7 | 191/2 |
| 36 | 4 | 195/2 |
| 37 | 7 | 202/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 206/2 |
| 39 | 10 | 216/2 |
| 40 | 7 | 223/3 |
| 41 | 9 | 232/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 236/5 |
| 43 | 6 | 242/5 |
| 44 | 11 | 253/5 |
| 45 | 11 | 264/5 |
| 46 | 7 | 271/6 |
| 47 | 4 | 275/6 |
| 48 | 6 | 281/6 |
| 49 | 4 | 285/8 |
| 50 | 11 | 296/8 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.png){kind=link}
_(Marnus_Labuschagne_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
