Royal Challengers BengaluruversusDelhi Capitals

1 Mar 2025 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 9 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs147/5 Delhi Capitals15.3 overs151/1 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 40%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 42% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.5: S Pandey to S Mandhana, S Mandhana out. Delhi Capitals up from 57% to 67%.
7.1: M Kapp to DN Wyatt, DN Wyatt out. Delhi Capitals up from 50% to 57%.
2nd inns 2.4: Renuka Singh to MM Lanning, MM Lanning out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 44% to 56%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru147/5 Delhi Capitals151/1

Innings 1