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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
29 Apr 2024 · T20
Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 28%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 61% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegersbowled · Khushi Sharma 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khushi Sharma | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Sterre Kalislbw · S Dharnidharka 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Dharnidharka | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Babette de Leedebowled · S Dharnidharka 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Dharnidharka | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Robine Rijkestumped · Theertha Satish · Kavisha Egodage 5 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Theertha Satish · b Kavisha Egodage | 44 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Iris Zwillingbowled · Vaishnave Mahesh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| caught and bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh |
| 12 |
| 23 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 52.17 |
| Eva Lynchrun out · Kavisha Egodage, S Dharnidharka · Kavisha Egodage 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kavisha Egodage, S Dharnidharka | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Hannah Landheercaught · Khushi Sharma · S Dharnidharka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khushi Sharma · b S Dharnidharka | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Caroline de Langenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Silver Siegersbowled · Khushi Sharma 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khushi Sharma | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
|---|
| MM Dekelingnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 2.64 | 1 | 0 |
| I Nandakumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Khushi Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Heena Hotchandani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Esha Oza0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Kavisha Egodage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Sterre Kalis, 0.2) · 2-10 (Babette de Leede, 2.1) · 3-33 (Heather Siegers, 4.3) · 4-49 (Iris Zwilling, 7.4) · 5-82 (Frederique Overdijk, 14.0) · 6-85 (Eva Lynch, 14.5) · 7-85 (Robine Rijke, 15.0) · 8-85 (Hannah Landheer, 15.4) · 9-95 (Silver Siegers, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 27/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 47/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 50/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 56/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 58/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 61/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 69/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 79/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 82/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 85/7 |
| 16 | 1 | 86/8 |
| 17 | 1 | 87/8 |
| 18 | 6 | 93/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 95/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 101/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.