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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 55%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Lancashire: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Roycaught · Keaton Jennings · Chris Green5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b Chris Green | 45 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 236.84 |
| ARG Thomascaught · Jack Blatherwick · James Anderson 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b James Anderson | 32 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 123.08 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Jack Blatherwick · Paul Coughlin3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Blatherwick · b Paul Coughlin | 31 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 155.00 |
 Sam Curranrun out · Matthew Hurst · Saqib Mahmood2 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Matthew Hurst |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 145.45 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Paul Coughlin · Jack Blatherwick0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Coughlin · b Jack Blatherwick | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Laurie Evansrun out · J Moores · Jack Blatherwick 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · J Moores | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Tom Currannot out5 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 49* | 20 | 5 | 4 | 245.00 |
|---|
 Jordan Clarknot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
 James Anderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Paul Coughlin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 0 | 1 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Blatherwick0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 10.67 | 3 | 0 |
1-55 (Jason Roy, 5.2) · 2-106 (ARG Thomas, 10.2) · 3-110 (Ollie Pope, 11.1) · 4-115 (Daniel Lawrence, 12.4) · 5-147 (Laurie Evans, 15.4) · 6-182 (Sam Curran, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 15 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 21 | 54/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 15 | 84/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 97/1 |
| 10 | 8 | 105/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 110/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 118/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 122/4 |
| 15 | 17 | 139/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 150/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 157/5 |
| 18 | 16 | 173/5 |
| 19 | 13 | 186/6 |
| 20 | 27 | 213/6 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Paul Coughlin: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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