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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographKent started on 54%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Adam Rossington · Luke Hollman 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Adam Rossington · b Luke Hollman | 38 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 152.00 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zafar Gohar · b Tom Helm | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 216.67 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CM Falconer · b Noah Cornwell | 36 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 138.46 |
9 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 84* | 37 | 9 |
| 5 |
| 227.03 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Hollman · b Noah Cornwell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Chris Benjamincaught · Ryan Higgins · Zafar Gohar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Zafar Gohar | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | retired out | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eathan Bosch0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-40 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 3.4) · 2-91 (Tawanda Muyeye, 8.2) · 3-133 (Zak Crawley, 13.1) · 4-133 (Joe Denly, 13.3) · 5-150 (Chris Benjamin, 15.0) · 6-194 (Joey Evison, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 34/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 42/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 57/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 70/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 80/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 91/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 94/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 96/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 100/2 |
| 12 | 20 | 120/2 |
| 13 | 13 | 133/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 133/4 |
| 15 | 17 | 150/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 154/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 160/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 174/5 |
| 19 | 20 | 194/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 208/6 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.