Antigua and Barbuda FalconsversusGuyana Amazon Warriors

23 Aug 2026 · T20

Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Guyana Amazon Warriors won by 7 wickets

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons17.0 overs116/10 Guyana Amazon Warriors9.5 overs121/3 Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons started on 43%; Antigua and Barbuda Falcons batted first.

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons’s chance of winning (%) · Guyana Amazon Warriors is the rest

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons's chances ranged from 0% to 57% during the match (Guyana Amazon Warriors: 43% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.3: K Pierre to RRS Cornwall, RRS Cornwall out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 43% to 54%.
3.3: K Pierre to K Gore, K Gore out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 53% to 64%.
12.2: S Joseph to JM James, JM James out. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 56% to 65%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons116/10 Guyana Amazon Warriors121/3

Innings 1