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Photo: SounderBruce
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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
9 Oct 2026 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 46%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 55% during the match (Namibia: 45% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught · Michael van Lingen · Bernard Scholtz 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Michael van Lingen · b Bernard Scholtz | 29 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 131.82 |
| Adeeb Usmanicaught · Ruben Trumpelmann · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b JJ Smit | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Muhammad Shahdadbowled · Jack Brassell 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Brassell | 22 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 48.89 |
 Harpreet Singhcaught · Michael van Lingen · JJ Smit0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael van Lingen · b JJ Smit | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Zane Green · Ruben Trumpelmann2 fours · 0 sixes |
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Zane Green · b Ruben Trumpelmann |
| 28 |
| 55 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 50.91 |
| Akshdeep Nathcaught and bowled · Bernard Scholtz 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Bernard Scholtz | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khancaught · Louren Steenkamp · JJ Smit 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Louren Steenkamp · b JJ Smit | 22 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 73.33 |
|---|
| Sohaib Khancaught · Jack Brassell · Ruben Trumpelmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Brassell · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Basil Hameednot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 28 | 1 | 0 | 39.29 |
|---|
| Khuzaima Tanveercaught · Zane Green · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b JJ Smit | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ali Naseerbowled · Ruben Trumpelmann 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 13 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 76.47 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.3 | 1 | 43 | 3 | 5.06 | 3 | 0 |
| JJ Smit1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 29 | 4 | 2.90 | 1 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 3.22 | 1 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Adeeb Usmani, 1.3) · 2-39 (T Suri, 6.5) · 3-42 (Harpreet Singh, 8.0) · 4-75 (Muhammad Shahdad, 18.0) · 5-76 (Akshdeep Nath, 18.4) · 6-103 (Rahul Chopra, 25.5) · 7-109 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 28.4) · 8-109 (Sohaib Khan, 29.3) · 9-110 (Khuzaima Tanveer, 31.0) · 10-134 (Ali Naseer, 37.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 19 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 42/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 42/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 48/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 57/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 59/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 60/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 63/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 73/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 75/4 |
| 19 | 1 | 76/5 |
| 20 | 2 | 78/5 |
| 21 | 2 | 80/5 |
| 22 | 2 | 82/5 |
| 23 | 8 | 90/5 |
| 24 | 6 | 96/5 |
| 25 | 4 | 100/5 |
| 26 | 3 | 103/6 |
| 27 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 28 | 1 | 107/6 |
| 29 | 2 | 109/7 |
| 30 | 0 | 109/8 |
| 31 | 1 | 110/9 |
| 32 | 5 | 115/9 |
| 33 | 3 | 118/9 |
| 34 | 6 | 124/9 |
| 35 | 1 | 125/9 |
| 36 | 0 | 125/9 |
| 37 | 9 | 134/9 |
| 38 | 0 | 134/10 |
Harpreet Singh: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
