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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
30 May 2024 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 49%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 9% to 68% during the match (Northamptonshire: 32% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Harry Camecaught · George Bartlett · RA Weatherall1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Bartlett · b RA Weatherall | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Luis Reececaught · Sikandar Raza · Ravi Bopara2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Ravi Bopara | 22 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 95.65 |
| David Lloydcaught · Sikandar Raza · Freddie Heldreich 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sikandar Raza · b Freddie Heldreich | 41 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 186.36 |
 Wayne Madsenbowled · George Scrimshaw3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Scrimshaw |
| 37 |
| 33 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 112.12 |
 Samit Patelcaught · Ravi Bopara · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ravi Bopara · b George Scrimshaw | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Brooke Guestbowled · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b David Willey | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Lewis McManus · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b David Willey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Alex Thomsonnot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 17 | 3 | 0 | 129.41 |
|---|
 Zak Chappellnot out0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 18* | 9 | 0 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| RA Weatherall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 12.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Freddie Heldreich0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-7 (Harry Came, 1.2) · 2-62 (Luis Reece, 6.4) · 3-83 (David Lloyd, 9.5) · 4-90 (Samit Patel, 10.5) · 5-115 (Brooke Guest, 14.2) · 6-115 (Ross Whiteley, 14.3) · 7-123 (Wayne Madsen, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 17 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 61/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 62/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 79/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 84/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 90/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 95/4 |
| 13 | 11 | 106/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 114/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 118/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 122/6 |
| 17 | 15 | 137/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 143/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 148/7 |
| 20 | 14 | 162/7 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Freddie Heldreich: Cavalryman · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
