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Women's African Games · 2023/24 · Women
8 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Nigeria started on 20%; Nigeria batted first.
Nigeria's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Eseigbecaught · Dietlind Foerster · Victoria Hamunyela 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dietlind Foerster · b Victoria Hamunyela | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
| E Sandycaught · M Gorases · N Benjamin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Gorases · b N Benjamin | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
| P Agboyarun out · Arrasta Diergaardt, M Gorases · N Benjamin 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Arrasta Diergaardt, M Gorases | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| S Sundaybowled · Kayleen Green 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kayleen Green | 40 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 111.11 |
| C Chukwuonyecaught · Rianie Esterhuizen · Dietlind Foerster 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rianie Esterhuizen · b Dietlind Foerster | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| L Pietybowled · Kayleen Green 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Kayleen Green |
| 9 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 64.29 |
| S Etimnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 14 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| B Etimnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 21 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilka Mwatile0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Kayleen Green0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Victoria Hamunyela0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 6 | 0 |
| Dietlind Foerster0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| N Benjamin0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Sylvia Shihepo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Arrasta Diergaardt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-14 (F Eseigbe, 2.5) · 2-34 (E Sandy, 6.3) · 3-35 (P Agboya, 6.4) · 4-36 (C Chukwuonye, 7.4) · 5-81 (L Piety, 14.1) · 6-96 (S Sunday, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 35/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 36/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 42/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 47/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 55/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 61/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 69/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 81/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 87/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 90/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 98/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 100/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 104/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 111/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.