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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier · 2024/25 · Men
7 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Cayman Islands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cayman Islands started on 62%; Cayman Islands batted first.
Cayman Islands's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Panama: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Bakerbowled · Irfan Hafejee 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Irfan Hafejee | 29 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 90.63 |
| Sacha De Alwisrun out · Breeze Ahir · Yusuf Ebrahim 2 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Breeze Ahir | 26 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 144.44 |
| AR Naidoorun out · Breeze Ahir · Yusuf Ebrahim 3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Breeze Ahir | 39 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 92.86 |
 Ramon Sealybowled · Yusuf Ebrahim0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yusuf Ebrahim | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
| S Fostercaught · Mahmud Jasat · AM Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mahmud Jasat · b AM Patel | 6 | 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| R Walkerlbw · Irfan Hafejee 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Irfan Hafejee | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| ROC Dunkanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| T Taylornot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Sanjay Kumar Ahir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| DK Dahyabhai Ahir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Yusuf Ebrahim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Natubhai Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Irfan Hafejee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Sacha De Alwis, 4.4) · 2-90 (J Baker, 14.0) · 3-102 (AR Naidoo, 16.3) · 4-102 (Ramon Sealy, 16.4) · 5-105 (R Walker, 17.1) · 6-113 (S Foster, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 35/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 50/1 |
| 9 | 15 | 65/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 67/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 71/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 77/1 |
| 13 | 4 | 81/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 90/2 |
| 15 | 0 | 90/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 94/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 105/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 110/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 118/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 124/6 |
Ramon Sealy: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
