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Photo: Commander Keane
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Bangladesh Women tour of Australia · 2026/27 · Women
9 Oct 2026 · ODI
Allan Border Field, Brisbane · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 4%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 3% during the match (Australia: 97% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fargana Hoquecaught · Phoebe Litchfield · Megan Schutt0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Phoebe Litchfield · b Megan Schutt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Sharmin Sultanalbw · Megan Schutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Megan Schutt | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
 Sharmin Akhtercaught · Alana King · Annabel Sutherland5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alana King · b Annabel Sutherland | 24 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 92.31 |
 Nigar Sultanacaught · Beth Mooney · Tahlia McGrath3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beth Mooney · b Tahlia McGrath |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 29 |
| 86 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 33.72 |
| Sobhana Mostarycaught · Beth Mooney · Annabel Sutherland 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beth Mooney · b Annabel Sutherland | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 11.76 |
|---|
| Shorna Akterlbw · Georgia Wareham 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Georgia Wareham | 21 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 42.00 |
|---|
| Ritu Monirun out · Annabel Sutherland, Kim Garth · Annabel Sutherland 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Annabel Sutherland, Kim Garth | 45 | 63 | 5 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Rabeya Khancaught · Ashleigh Gardner · Annabel Sutherland 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashleigh Gardner · b Annabel Sutherland | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
 Nahida Akternot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 32 | 1 | 0 | 59.38 |
|---|
| Habiba Islamcaught · Ellyse Perry · Ashleigh Gardner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellyse Perry · b Ashleigh Gardner | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Marufa Aktercaught · Ellyse Perry · Annabel Sutherland0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellyse Perry · b Annabel Sutherland | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megan Schutt4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 1.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Kim Garth1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 4.13 | 3 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland2 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 9.4 | 2 | 30 | 4 | 3.10 | 0 | 3 |
 Alana King0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 3.13 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashleigh Gardner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 4.29 | 1 | 0 |
 Tahlia McGrath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Georgia Wareham1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Fargana Hoque, 0.1) · 2-11 (Sharmin Sultana, 2.3) · 3-33 (Sharmin Akhter, 7.5) · 4-48 (Sobhana Mostary, 13.3) · 5-83 (Nigar Sultana, 28.0) · 6-103 (Shorna Akter, 33.0) · 7-122 (Rabeya Khan, 37.4) · 8-159 (Ritu Moni, 47.2) · 9-165 (Habiba Islam, 49.0) · 10-166 (Marufa Akter, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 11/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 18/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 18/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 25/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 33/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 34/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 34/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 36/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 45/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 48/3 |
| 14 | 0 | 48/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 52/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 55/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 57/4 |
| 18 | 0 | 57/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 59/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 64/4 |
| 21 | 2 | 66/4 |
| 22 | 1 | 67/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 68/4 |
| 24 | 2 | 70/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 73/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 74/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 77/4 |
| 28 | 6 | 83/5 |
| 29 | 9 | 92/5 |
| 30 | 0 | 92/5 |
| 31 | 2 | 94/5 |
| 32 | 9 | 103/5 |
| 33 | 0 | 103/6 |
| 34 | 1 | 104/6 |
| 35 | 5 | 109/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 112/6 |
| 37 | 9 | 121/6 |
| 38 | 1 | 122/7 |
| 39 | 3 | 125/7 |
| 40 | 5 | 130/7 |
| 41 | 3 | 133/7 |
| 42 | 1 | 134/7 |
| 43 | 5 | 139/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 142/7 |
| 45 | 4 | 146/7 |
| 46 | 4 | 150/7 |
| 47 | 7 | 157/7 |
| 48 | 3 | 160/8 |
| 49 | 5 | 165/9 |
| 50 | 1 | 166/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fargana Hoque: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Voll: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Phoebe Litchfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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