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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jun 2024 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 32%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (Somerset: 62% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Josh Davey · Craig Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Davey · b Craig Overton | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Martin Anderssoncaught · Craig Overton · Riley Meredith 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Riley Meredith | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Tom Banton · Riley Meredith 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Banton · b Riley Meredith | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
| Max Holdencaught · Lewis Gregory · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis Gregory · b Riley Meredith | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Sean Dickson · Riley Meredith2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Sean Dickson · b Riley Meredith |
| 9 |
| 11 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 81.82 |
| Jack Daviescaught · Sean Dickson · Craig Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Craig Overton | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · Will Smeed · Ben Green1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Smeed · b Ben Green | 12 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 70.59 |
|---|
| Josh de Cairescaught · Lewis Gregory · Josh Davey 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis Gregory · b Josh Davey | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Tom Helmcaught · Roelof van der Merwe · Josh Davey2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roelof van der Merwe · b Josh Davey | 15 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 88.24 |
|---|
| Blake Cullenlbw · Ben Green 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ben Green | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 14 | 0 | 1 | 107.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Davey1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 3.71 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Martin Andersson, 1.4) · 2-16 (Stephen Eskinazi, 2.1) · 3-19 (Max Holden, 3.1) · 4-20 (Joe Cracknell, 5.1) · 5-23 (Jack Davies, 6.1) · 6-33 (Ryan Higgins, 7.5) · 7-41 (Josh de Caires, 9.5) · 8-50 (Luke Hollman, 12.1) · 9-50 (Blake Cullen, 12.2) · 10-78 (Tom Helm, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 19/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 20/3 |
| 5 | 0 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 23/4 |
| 7 | 9 | 32/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 34/6 |
| 9 | 7 | 41/6 |
| 10 | 0 | 41/7 |
| 11 | 4 | 45/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 50/7 |
| 13 | 2 | 52/9 |
| 14 | 3 | 55/9 |
| 15 | 15 | 70/9 |
| 16 | 3 | 73/9 |
| 17 | 5 | 78/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
