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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Africa Region Division One Qualifier · 2025 · Women
1 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Rwanda started on 47%; Rwanda batted first.
Rwanda's chances ranged from 0% to 63% during the match (Uganda: 37% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Bimenyimanabowled · Concy Aweko 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Concy Aweko | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| M Uwasecaught · Concy Aweko · S Akiteng 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Concy Aweko · b S Akiteng | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Gisele Ishimwecaught · Prosscovia Alako · Janet Mbabazi 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Prosscovia Alako · b Janet Mbabazi | 41 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 124.24 |
| C Uwasecaught · Kevin Awino · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevin Awino · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Henriette Ishimwecaught · Stephanie Nampiina · Janet Mbabazi 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Stephanie Nampiina · b Janet Mbabazi | 36 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 116.13 |
| A Ikuzwebowled · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi |
| 6 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
| F Irakozecaught · Immaculate Nakisuuyi · S Akiteng 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Immaculate Nakisuuyi · b S Akiteng | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| B Murekatetebowled · Irene Mutonyi 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Irene Mutonyi | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Geovanis Uwasebowled · Concy Aweko 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Concy Aweko | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| R Shimwamanabowled · Irene Mutonyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Irene Mutonyi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Rosine Ireranot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Mutonyi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Concy Aweko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.48 | 0 | 0 |
| S Akiteng0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephanie Nampiina0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Marie Bimenyimana, 1.4) · 2-29 (M Uwase, 4.3) · 3-40 (C Uwase, 7.3) · 4-88 (Gisele Ishimwe, 14.5) · 5-95 (A Ikuzwe, 15.4) · 6-100 (F Irakoze, 16.3) · 7-108 (Henriette Ishimwe, 17.4) · 8-110 (B Murekatete, 18.3) · 9-110 (R Shimwamana, 18.5) · 10-114 (Geovanis Uwase, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 42/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 64/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 70/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 79/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 85/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 89/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 99/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 103/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 109/7 |
| 19 | 1 | 110/9 |
| 20 | 4 | 114/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.