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Photo: Aravind Sivaraj
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Men's T20 Asia Cup · 2025 · Men
15 Sept 2025 · T20
Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 79%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 76% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 25%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafubowled · Jiten Ramanandi7 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jiten Ramanandi | 51 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 134.21 |
| Waseem Muhammadrun out · AR Bisht, Vinayak Shukla · Hassnain Shah 6 fours · 3 sixes | run out · AR Bisht, Vinayak Shukla | 69 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 127.78 |
| Asif Khanbowled · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Muhammad Zohaibcaught · Samay Shrivastava · Jiten Ramanandi 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Samay Shrivastava · b Jiten Ramanandi | 21 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 161.54 |
| H Kaushiknot out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out |
| 19* |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 237.50 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Aamir Kaleem · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aamir Kaleem · b Hassnain Shah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Shah Faisal0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Jiten Ramanandi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
1-88 (Alishan Sharafu, 11.0) · 2-96 (Asif Khan, 13.0) · 3-145 (Muhammad Zohaib, 17.5) · 4-171 (Waseem Muhammad, 19.3) · 5-171 (Rahul Chopra, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 37/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 50/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 56/0 |
| 8 | 15 | 71/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 75/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 83/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 88/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 94/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 96/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 103/2 |
| 15 | 13 | 116/2 |
| 16 | 12 | 128/2 |
| 17 | 9 | 137/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 146/3 |
| 19 | 18 | 164/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 172/5 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
