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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
14 Jan 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 60%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (Otago: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Suzie Bates · b Hayley Jensen | 41 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 95.35 |
| Rebecca Burnscaught · Suzie Bates · Kirstie Gordon 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Suzie Bates · b Kirstie Gordon | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Suzie Bates · b Eden Carson | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jess Kerrrun out · Hayley Jensen, Eden Carson · Hayley Jensen 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hayley Jensen, Eden Carson | 56 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 112.00 |
| caught · Polly Inglis · b Kirstie Gordon |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Jess McFadyenrun out · Kirstie Gordon, Emma Black · Kirstie Gordon 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kirstie Gordon, Emma Black | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| XA Jetlycaught · Bella James · Emma Black 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bella James · b Emma Black | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| S Mackinderrun out · Suzie Bates, Hayley Jensen · Hayley Jensen 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Suzie Bates, Hayley Jensen | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| G Simsrun out · Hayley Jensen, Kirstie Gordon · Hayley Jensen 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hayley Jensen, Kirstie Gordon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| N Bairdnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Black0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eden Carson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| AS Browning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Felicity Leydon-Davis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Rebecca Burns, 4.4) · 2-21 (Sophie Devine, 6.0) · 3-80 (Amelia Kerr, 15.5) · 4-81 (CR King, 16.3) · 5-81 (Jess McFadyen, 16.4) · 6-98 (XA Jetly, 18.4) · 7-103 (S Mackinder, 19.2) · 8-104 (G Sims, 19.3) · 9-109 (Jess Kerr, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 18/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 21/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 50/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 57/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 60/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 74/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 80/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 85/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 94/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 100/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 109/9 |
Hayley Jensen: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Devine: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.