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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Papua New Guinea · 2025/26 · Women
19 Oct 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 45%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naoani Varecaught and bowled · I Nandakumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b I Nandakumar | 18 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 36.73 |
| Lakshmi Rajaduraicaught · Theertha Satish · Esha Oza 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Theertha Satish · b Esha Oza | 12 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Brenda Taulbw · Esha Oza 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Esha Oza | 11 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 32.35 |
| HJ Thomasbowled · I Nandakumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b I Nandakumar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Konio Oalabowled · Vaishnave Mahesh 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Vaishnave Mahesh | 22 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 110.00 |
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 26% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 74%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Siya Gokhale · b Al Maseera Jahangir |
| 60 |
| 63 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 95.24 |
| H Dorigacaught · S Dharnidharka · I Nandakumar 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Dharnidharka · b I Nandakumar | 48 | 61 | 6 | 1 | 78.69 |
|---|
| Geua Tombowled · I Nandakumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b I Nandakumar | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Isabel Touanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| D Lohiabowled · Al Maseera Jahangir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Al Maseera Jahangir | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Mairi Tomnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 18 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Dharnidharka0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 4.10 | 3 | 0 |
| S Kotte1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 2.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Esha Oza4 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 1.70 | 3 | 0 |
| I Nandakumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 50 | 4 | 5.56 | 1 | 0 |
| Vaishnave Mahesh0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Siya Gokhale0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Al Maseera Jahangir2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 3.20 | 2 | 0 |
1-29 (Lakshmi Rajadurai, 12.3) · 2-33 (Naoani Vare, 17.1) · 3-33 (HJ Thomas, 17.2) · 4-66 (Konio Oala, 23.4) · 5-72 (Brenda Tau, 24.2) · 6-191 (Pauke Siaka, 44.1) · 7-193 (H Doriga, 45.5) · 8-200 (Geua Tom, 47.5) · 9-201 (D Lohia, 49.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 6/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 17/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 18/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 22/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 27/0 |
| 13 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 30/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 31/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 33/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 33/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 38/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 38/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 46/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 23 | 0 | 56/3 |
| 24 | 16 | 72/4 |
| 25 | 0 | 72/5 |
| 26 | 6 | 78/5 |
| 27 | 2 | 80/5 |
| 28 | 7 | 87/5 |
| 29 | 5 | 92/5 |
| 30 | 3 | 95/5 |
| 31 | 4 | 99/5 |
| 32 | 7 | 106/5 |
| 33 | 3 | 109/5 |
| 34 | 7 | 116/5 |
| 35 | 6 | 122/5 |
| 36 | 9 | 131/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 135/5 |
| 38 | 12 | 147/5 |
| 39 | 8 | 155/5 |
| 40 | 8 | 163/5 |
| 41 | 5 | 168/5 |
| 42 | 9 | 177/5 |
| 43 | 8 | 185/5 |
| 44 | 6 | 191/5 |
| 45 | 0 | 191/6 |
| 46 | 2 | 193/7 |
| 47 | 3 | 196/7 |
| 48 | 5 | 201/8 |
| 49 | 0 | 201/9 |
| 50 | 9 | 210/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.