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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
23 Jan 2026 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 65%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 21% to 94% during the match (Canterbury: 6% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Plimmercaught · MJ Banks · Lauren Smith 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MJ Banks · b Lauren Smith | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 123.08 |
| Rebecca Burnslbw · Lauren Smith 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Lauren Smith | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 123.08 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · Lauren Smith · MJ Banks 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lauren Smith · b MJ Banks | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| HC Francisbowled · SR Asmussen 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SR Asmussen | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| XA Jetlycaught · KG Anderson · SR Asmussen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KG Anderson · b SR Asmussen | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| lbw · b SG Cornelius |
| 3 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
| S Mackinderrun out · Lauren Smith, SR Asmussen · Lauren Smith 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Lauren Smith, SR Asmussen | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| JA Simmonscaught · AG Gerken · MJ Banks 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · AG Gerken · b MJ Banks | 24 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 104.35 |
|---|
| NE Codyrebowled · SR Asmussen 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SR Asmussen | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| N Bairdnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| RJ Bryantnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SG Cornelius0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 3 | 0 |
| MJ Banks0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 5 | 0 |
 Lea Tahuhu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Lauren Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| SR Asmussen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-42 (Georgia Plimmer, 5.3) · 2-57 (Rebecca Burns, 7.2) · 3-66 (HC Francis, 8.5) · 4-66 (Jess Kerr, 9.1) · 5-76 (Jess McFadyen, 10.5) · 6-83 (XA Jetly, 12.5) · 7-106 (S Mackinder, 15.5) · 8-110 (NE Codyre, 16.5) · 9-126 (JA Simmons, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 47/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 66/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 74/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 77/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 81/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 83/6 |
| 14 | 11 | 94/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 102/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 106/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 110/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 113/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 120/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 130/9 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lea Tahuhu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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