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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
13 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Sweden more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Slovenia started on 31%; Slovenia batted first.
Slovenia's chances ranged from 0% to 37% during the match (Sweden: 63% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Siddiquicaught · A Mundra · Khalid Zahid 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Mundra · b Khalid Zahid | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Taher Muhammadrun out · A Mundra, Khalid Zahid · Prashant Shukla 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Mundra, Khalid Zahid | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| Tarun Sharma (2)caught · A Mundra · SKR Mallidi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Mundra · b SKR Mallidi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Rasheed Ali Mamadkhelcaught · Abdur Rahman Sudais · Khalid Zahid 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdur Rahman Sudais · b Khalid Zahid | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Shahid Arshadbowled · Prashant Shukla 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prashant Shukla | 14 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Mazhar Khanstumped · A Mundra · Hamid Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · A Mundra · b Hamid Mahmood | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Izaz Alicaught · SKR Mallidi · Prashant Shukla 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SKR Mallidi · b Prashant Shukla | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Waqar Khancaught · J Stanigze · Hamid Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Stanigze · b Hamid Mahmood | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| S Koppolunot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 34* | 29 | 2 | 2 | 117.24 |
|---|
| Saeed Waqar Alibowled · Prashant Shukla 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Prashant Shukla | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Merwais Shinwaricaught · SKR Mallidi · J Stanigze 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · SKR Mallidi · b J Stanigze | 12 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 63.16 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalid Zahid0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 4 | 0 |
| SKR Mallidi0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Hamid Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Prashant Shukla2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Samiullah Rahmani0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 2 |
| J Stanigze0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.4 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 9.60 | 2 | 0 |
1-7 (Muhammad Siddiqui, 0.3) · 2-14 (Tarun Sharma (2), 1.2) · 3-26 (Rasheed Ali Mamadkhel, 2.5) · 4-40 (Taher Muhammad, 6.1) · 5-45 (Shahid Arshad, 8.1) · 6-45 (Izaz Ali, 8.5) · 7-45 (Mazhar Khan, 9.2) · 8-53 (Waqar Khan, 11.1) · 9-56 (Saeed Waqar Ali, 12.4) · 10-101 (Merwais Shinwari, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 20/2 |
| 3 | 7 | 27/3 |
| 4 | 9 | 36/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 39/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 40/3 |
| 7 | 0 | 40/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/4 |
| 9 | 0 | 45/6 |
| 10 | 2 | 47/7 |
| 11 | 6 | 53/7 |
| 12 | 2 | 55/8 |
| 13 | 1 | 56/9 |
| 14 | 4 | 60/9 |
| 15 | 8 | 68/9 |
| 16 | 5 | 73/9 |
| 17 | 12 | 85/9 |
| 18 | 8 | 93/9 |
| 19 | 8 | 101/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.