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Norway Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2025 · Men
17 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hungary more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sweden started on 33%; Sweden batted first.
Sweden's chances ranged from 21% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 0% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awais Ahmadcaught · Abbas Ghani · SA Mohandas 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abbas Ghani · b SA Mohandas | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Imal Zuwakbowled · SA Mohandas 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SA Mohandas | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Mundracaught · V Ravindran · Zeeshan Kukikhel 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · V Ravindran · b Zeeshan Kukikhel | 43 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 138.71 |
| YS Chauhancaught · KN Gabhane · Kamran Wahid 11 fours · 1 sixes | caught · KN Gabhane · b Kamran Wahid | 71 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 169.05 |
| Saeed Ahmed (2)not out 4 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 73* | 37 | 4 | 5 | 197.30 |
| Samiullah Rahmani |
| run out · Zeeshan Kukikhel, Kamran Wahid |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| J Stanigzenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA Mohandas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamran Wahid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Amal Jacob0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Kukikhel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Nawaz0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 13.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Abbas Ghani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Imal Zuwak, 0.3) · 2-16 (Awais Ahmad, 2.3) · 3-91 (A Mundra, 10.4) · 4-171 (YS Chauhan, 17.3) · 5-189 (Samiullah Rahmani, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 13 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 8 | 13 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 75/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 82/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 92/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 103/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 115/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 126/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 139/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 150/3 |
| 17 | 14 | 164/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 173/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 188/4 |
| 20 | 16 | 204/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.