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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
2 Feb 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 58%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 15% to 99% during the match (Otago: 1% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amelia Kerrcaught · Olivia Gain · AS Browning1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Olivia Gain · b AS Browning | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 68.18 |
| Rebecca Burnsrun out · Olivia Gain · Emma Black 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Olivia Gain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Hannah Darlingtoncaught · Eden Carson · Kirstie Gordon 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eden Carson · b Kirstie Gordon | 26 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 76.47 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · CG Blakely · Felicity Leydon-Davis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CG Blakely · b Felicity Leydon-Davis | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
 |
| lbw · b Kirstie Gordon |
| 24 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 126.32 |
| Jess McFadyencaught · Emma Black · Felicity Leydon-Davis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emma Black · b Felicity Leydon-Davis | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| CR Kingnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
| S Mackinderstumped · Polly Inglis · Emma Black 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Polly Inglis · b Emma Black | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| N Bairdcaught · Emma Black · Felicity Leydon-Davis 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emma Black · b Felicity Leydon-Davis | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| NE Codyrenot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Black0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Hayley Jensen1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Kirstie Gordon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Eden Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| AS Browning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Felicity Leydon-Davis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Rebecca Burns, 0.0) · 2-40 (Amelia Kerr, 8.3) · 3-45 (Jess Kerr, 9.5) · 4-49 (Hannah Darlington, 10.4) · 5-60 (Jess McFadyen, 14.0) · 6-80 (Maitlan Brown, 16.2) · 7-92 (S Mackinder, 18.3) · 8-95 (N Baird, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 40/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 43/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 49/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 53/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 56/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 60/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 69/5 |
| 16 | 10 | 79/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 84/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 91/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 95/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 104/8 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Jensen: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kirstie Gordon: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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