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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
26 Dec 2024 · T20
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 31%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Duckettcaught · Todd Murphy · Jackson Bird10 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Todd Murphy · b Jackson Bird | 68 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 234.48 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · James Vince · Akeal Hosein 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Vince · b Akeal Hosein | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Sam Harpercaught · Hayden Kerr · Todd Murphy 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hayden Kerr · b Todd Murphy | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Glenn Maxwellcaught · Todd Murphy · Ben Dwarshuis2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Todd Murphy · b Ben Dwarshuis | 32 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 188.24 |
| bowled · b Todd Murphy |
| 20 |
| 19 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 105.26 |
| Hilton Cartwrightcaught · Josh Philippe · Ben Dwarshuis 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Philippe · b Ben Dwarshuis | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 136.36 |
|---|
 Tom Currancaught · Jordan Silk · Jackson Bird1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Silk · b Jackson Bird | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 107.14 |
|---|
| Jonathan Merlonot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Usama Mircaught · Jack Edwards · Jackson Bird 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Edwards · b Jackson Bird | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Doug Warrenbowled · Hayden Kerr 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hayden Kerr | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Bird0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Akeal Hosein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Dwarshuis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Todd Murphy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Edwards0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayden Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Tom Rogers, 1.4) · 2-77 (Sam Harper, 6.5) · 3-106 (Ben Duckett, 8.4) · 4-132 (Glenn Maxwell, 12.0) · 5-150 (Marcus Stoinis, 14.1) · 6-178 (Hilton Cartwright, 17.2) · 7-183 (Tom Curran, 18.2) · 8-185 (Usama Mir, 18.4) · 9-194 (Doug Warren, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 24 | 57/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 62/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 68/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 78/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 92/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 106/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 116/3 |
| 11 | 13 | 129/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 132/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 139/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 150/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 155/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 166/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 177/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 182/6 |
| 19 | 8 | 190/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 194/9 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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