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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 70%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 70% to 100% during the match (Norway: 0% to 30%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musa Shaheencaught · Ibrahim Rahimi · M Shahbaz Butt 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Rahimi · b M Shahbaz Butt | 50 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 135.14 |
| Hamid Shahcaught · D Abeyrathna · Wahidullah Sahak 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D Abeyrathna · b Wahidullah Sahak | 27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Sebastian Heathcaught · Walid Ghauri · Vinay Ravi 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Walid Ghauri · b Vinay Ravi | 43 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 153.57 |
| Saif Ahmadcaught · Ahmadullah Shinwari · Vinay Ravi 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ahmadullah Shinwari · b Vinay Ravi | 52 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 192.59 |
| Shangeev Thanikaithasanbowled · Vinay Ravi 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Vinay Ravi | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 228.57 |
| Surya Anandnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Taranjit Bharajnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinay Ravi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 3 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ahmadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Wahidullah Sahak0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
| M Shahbaz Butt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Hayatullah Niazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| D Abeyrathna0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-60 (Hamid Shah, 6.0) · 2-86 (Musa Shaheen, 10.4) · 3-167 (Sebastian Heath, 17.3) · 4-198 (Saif Ahmad, 19.2) · 5-199 (Shangeev Thanikaithasan, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 62/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 66/1 |
| 9 | 13 | 79/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 82/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 87/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 100/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 111/2 |
| 14 | 11 | 122/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 131/2 |
| 16 | 16 | 147/2 |
| 17 | 16 | 163/2 |
| 18 | 13 | 176/3 |
| 19 | 16 | 192/3 |
| 20 | 11 | 203/5 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
