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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Papua New Guinea Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2023/24 · Women
30 Mar 2024 · T20
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 32%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 0% to 33% during the match (Zimbabwe: 67% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sibona Jimmybowled · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josephine Nkomo | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Naoani Varecaught · Modester Mupachikwa · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b Josephine Nkomo | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tanya Rumabowled · Josephine Nkomo 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josephine Nkomo | 47 | 60 | 6 | 0 | 78.33 |
| Brenda Taurun out · Modester Mupachikwa, Loren Tshuma · Kelis Ndhlovu 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Modester Mupachikwa, Loren Tshuma | 17 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 77.27 |
| Pauke Siakanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 33* | 33 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| not out |
| 1* |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Nkomo1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nomvelo Sibanda0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Precious Marange0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Naoani Vare, 0.2) · 2-4 (Sibona Jimmy, 2.1) · 3-43 (Brenda Tau, 10.2) · 4-107 (Tanya Ruma, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 31/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 32/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 35/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 44/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 49/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 54/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 59/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 70/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 75/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 91/3 |
| 19 | 13 | 104/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 110/4 |
Precious Marange: Foreign and Commonwealth Office · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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