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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
2 Feb 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Canterbury started on 47%; Canterbury batted first.
Canterbury's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Central Districts: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · TA Findlay · Blair Tickner 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TA Findlay · b Blair Tickner | 16 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 84.21 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Jayden Lennox · Brett Randell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b Brett Randell | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Will Young · AR Schaw 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b AR Schaw | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Jayden Lennox · TA Findlay 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b TA Findlay | 46 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 121.05 |
| Cole McConchierun out · Tom Bruce · Blair Tickner 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Bruce | 27 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 93.10 |
| Henry Shipleycaught · Will Young · TA Findlay 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Will Young · b TA Findlay |
| 10 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 111.11 |
| Zakary Foulkescaught · Tom Bruce · Brett Randell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Bruce · b Brett Randell | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Matt Henrycaught · AR Schaw · TA Findlay0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · AR Schaw · b TA Findlay | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR Schaw0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| TA Findlay0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (Mitchell Hay, 1.5) · 2-14 (Matt Boyle, 3.0) · 3-39 (Chad Bowes, 6.5) · 4-98 (Cole McConchie, 15.3) · 5-105 (Daryl Mitchell, 16.5) · 6-114 (Zakary Foulkes, 18.0) · 7-130 (Henry Shipley, 19.1) · 8-135 (Matt Henry, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 37/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 39/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 47/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 76/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 83/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 96/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 99/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 105/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 114/6 |
| 19 | 16 | 130/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 135/8 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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