Rajasthan RoyalsversusDelhi Capitals

17 May 2026 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 5 wickets

Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs193/8 Delhi Capitals19.2 overs197/5 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajasthan Royals started on 44%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.

Rajasthan Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 3% to 87% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 14% to 97%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.2: D Ferreira to DA Miller, six by DA Miller. Delhi Capitals up from 60% to 75%.
2nd inns 17.6: D Ferreira to AR Patel, six by AR Patel. Delhi Capitals up from 65% to 91%.
2nd inns 18.5: Brijesh Sharma to Ashutosh Sharma, six by Ashutosh Sharma. Delhi Capitals up from 73% to 92%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajasthan Royals193/8 Delhi Capitals197/5

Innings 1