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Chile Women tour of Costa Rica · 2026 · Women
26 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Costa Rica more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Chile started on 31%; Chile batted first.
Chile's chances ranged from 0% to 32% during the match (Costa Rica: 68% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camila Valdesrun out · JC Molina, AB Martinez · JC Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · JC Molina, AB Martinez | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.14 |
| IIA Vildosolabowled · YP Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b YP Molina | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| YB Rodriguezbowled · YP Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b YP Molina | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Sofia Mardonesbowled · YP Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b YP Molina | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Florencia Martinezcaught and bowled · JC Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b JC Molina | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| MBT Montero |
| run out · TU Montero, WM Delgado |
| 1 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 6.25 |
| Maria Salazarbowled · JC Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b JC Molina | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Franchesca Moyabowled · SB Martinez 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SB Martinez | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
| JA Mirandalbw · YP Molina 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b YP Molina | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Sofia Arayanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| NCC Perezbowled · YP Molina 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b YP Molina | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 24 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SB Martinez0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 6 | 1 |
| YP Molina0 maidens · 11 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 3.55 | 11 | 1 |
| EFB Estrada0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| JC Molina1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2.50 | 1 | 0 |
| ADP Diaz0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 2 | 1 |
| WM Delgado0 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 3 | 2 |
1-2 (IIA Vildosola, 1.1) · 2-6 (YB Rodriguez, 3.1) · 3-7 (Sofia Mardones, 4.0) · 4-8 (Camila Valdes, 5.2) · 5-9 (Florencia Martinez, 7.1) · 6-9 (Maria Salazar, 7.3) · 7-25 (MBT Montero, 10.0) · 8-26 (Franchesca Moya, 10.4) · 9-45 (JA Miranda, 13.1) · 10-46 (NCC Perez, 13.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 7/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 8/3 |
| 6 | 0 | 8/4 |
| 7 | 1 | 9/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 14/6 |
| 9 | 3 | 17/6 |
| 10 | 8 | 25/7 |
| 11 | 1 | 26/8 |
| 12 | 5 | 31/8 |
| 13 | 10 | 41/8 |
| 14 | 5 | 46/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.