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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
13 Jul 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Croatia started on 33%; Croatia batted first.
Croatia's chances ranged from 0% to 45% during the match (Switzerland: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CP Turkichcaught · Noorkhan Ahmedi · Ashwin Vinod 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noorkhan Ahmedi · b Ashwin Vinod | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
| D Marsicrun out · Faheem Nazir, Ahmed Hassan · Ashwin Vinod 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Faheem Nazir, Ahmed Hassan | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| ZXM Vukusiclbw · NK Aneesh Kumar 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b NK Aneesh Kumar | 13 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 92.86 |
| DJ Turkichcaught · Ali Nayyer · K Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Nayyer · b K Fletcher | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 73.68 |
| JM Vujinovichcaught · Noorkhan Ahmedi · Ali Nayyer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noorkhan Ahmedi · b Ali Nayyer | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 47.06 |
| bowled · b K Fletcher |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| PS Robertsnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 39* | 36 | 4 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| M Grziniccaught · Ahmed Hassan · K Fletcher 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmed Hassan · b K Fletcher | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| B Jerkovicnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Nayyer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ashwin Vinod0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 3 | 0 |
| NK Aneesh Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Arjun Vinod0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| K Fletcher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Faheem Nazir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdullah Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-22 (D Marsic, 3.2) · 2-24 (CP Turkich, 4.0) · 3-51 (ZXM Vukusic, 9.0) · 4-51 (DJ Turkich, 9.2) · 5-51 (Jaikumar Thakur, 9.3) · 6-81 (JM Vujinovich, 16.3) · 7-88 (M Grzinic, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 28/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 48/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 51/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 52/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 56/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 60/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 65/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 69/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 76/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 80/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 83/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 88/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 98/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 104/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.