Lahore QalandarsversusQuetta Gladiators

17 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 6 wickets

Lahore Qalandars19.5 overs134/10 Quetta Gladiators16.2 overs138/4 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 45%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 41% to 100%).

Biggest swings

1.5: Jahandad Khan to Muhammad Naeem, Muhammad Naeem out. Quetta Gladiators up from 41% to 53%.
2.5: AS Joseph to Fakhar Zaman, Fakhar Zaman out. Quetta Gladiators up from 52% to 65%.
4.4: AS Joseph to KIC Asalanka, KIC Asalanka out. Quetta Gladiators up from 63% to 73%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars134/10 Quetta Gladiators138/4

Innings 1