Lucknow Super GiantsversusRajasthan Royals

19 May 2026 · T20

Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajasthan Royals won by 7 wickets

Lucknow Super Giants20.0 overs220/5 Rajasthan Royals19.1 overs225/3 Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lucknow Super Giants started on 41%; Lucknow Super Giants batted first.

Lucknow Super Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Rajasthan Royals is the rest

Lucknow Super Giants's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Rajasthan Royals: 11% to 100%).

Biggest swings

19.6: JC Archer to A Badoni, A Badoni out. Rajasthan Royals up from 22% to 29%.
2nd inns 6.3: Akash Singh to YBK Jaiswal, YBK Jaiswal out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 40% to 55%.
2nd inns 9.6: DS Rathi to V Suryavanshi, six by V Suryavanshi. Rajasthan Royals up from 69% to 77%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lucknow Super Giants220/5 Rajasthan Royals225/3

Innings 1