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Bangladesh tour of United Arab Emirates · 2025 · Men
21 May 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 39%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 49% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 51% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzid Hasanbowled · Akif Raja 4 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Akif Raja | 40 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 222.22 |
| Parvez Hossain Emoncaught · Alishan Sharafu · D Parashar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b D Parashar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Litton Daslbw · Haider Ali1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Haider Ali | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 140.00 |
 Tawhid Hridoylbw · Haider Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Haider Ali | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mahedi Hasanbowled · Haider Ali0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Haider Ali |
| 2 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 22.22 |
 Jaker Alicaught · Zuhaib Zubair · Saghir Khan1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Zuhaib Zubair · b Saghir Khan | 41 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 120.59 |
|---|
 Shamim Hossaincaught · Rahul Chopra · Matiullah Khan1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Matiullah Khan | 9 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Rishad Hossainlbw · Matiullah Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matiullah Khan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tanzim Hasan Sakibcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Saghir Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Saghir Khan | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudnot out0 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 26* | 15 | 0 | 3 | 173.33 |
|---|
 Shariful Islamnot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 7 | 1 | 1 | 228.57 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akif Raja0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matiullah Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Haider Ali1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Saghir Khan0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Waseem Muhammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 27.60 | 0 | 2 |
 Alishan Sharafu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Parvez Hossain Emon, 1.1) · 2-31 (Litton Das, 3.1) · 3-31 (Tawhid Hridoy, 3.3) · 4-49 (Mahedi Hasan, 6.0) · 5-57 (Tanzid Hasan, 6.4) · 6-69 (Shamim Hossain, 10.1) · 7-71 (Rishad Hossain, 10.4) · 8-84 (Tanzim Hasan Sakib, 14.0) · 9-128 (Jaker Ali, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 18 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 31/3 |
| 5 | 16 | 47/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 49/4 |
| 7 | 8 | 57/5 |
| 8 | 2 | 59/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 64/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 69/5 |
| 11 | 2 | 71/7 |
| 12 | 3 | 74/7 |
| 13 | 4 | 78/7 |
| 14 | 6 | 84/8 |
| 15 | 9 | 93/8 |
| 16 | 5 | 98/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 109/8 |
| 18 | 13 | 122/8 |
| 19 | 14 | 136/9 |
| 20 | 26 | 162/9 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamim Hossain: DelwarHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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