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Central American Cricket Championships · 2026 · Men
3 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Mexico more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mexico started on 58%; Mexico batted first.
Mexico's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Brazil: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shantanu Kaveristumped · L Maximo · Yasar Haroon 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · L Maximo · b Yasar Haroon | 24 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 92.31 |
| Ankush Singhbowled · LA Goncalves 3 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b LA Goncalves | 36 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 133.33 |
| KB Patilbowled · Yasar Haroon 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Yasar Haroon | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| D Pandacaught · CC Machado · LF Muller 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CC Machado · b LF Muller | 13 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 68.42 |
| Amir Buttbowled · LF Muller 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b LF Muller | 27 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 207.69 |
| D Ebersohnrun out · LA Goncalves, G Oliveira · G Oliveira0 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · LA Goncalves, G Oliveira |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Shubhang Sharmabowled · LH Rodrigues 0 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b LH Rodrigues | 21 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 131.25 |
|---|
| DV Devjani Mutrejarun out · LF Muller, L Maximo · RV Nascimento 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · LF Muller, L Maximo | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| SK Lahirinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Pratik Singh Baiscaught · LF Muller · LH Rodrigues 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · LF Muller · b LH Rodrigues | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hassan Nasirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 16 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RV Nascimento0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
| LH Rodrigues0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 2 | 0 |
| LG Moras0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 6 | 0 |
| Yasar Haroon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 8.67 | 1 | 0 |
| LA Goncalves0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 |
| LF Muller0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 8.50 | 6 | 0 |
| G Oliveira0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-69 (Ankush Singh, 8.4) · 2-69 (Shantanu Kaveri, 9.1) · 3-82 (KB Patil, 11.2) · 4-123 (D Panda, 15.2) · 5-124 (Amir Butt, 15.4) · 6-131 (D Ebersohn, 16.3) · 7-156 (DV Devjani Mutreja, 19.0) · 8-156 (Shubhang Sharma, 19.1) · 9-156 (Pratik Singh Bais, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 46/0 |
| 7 | 15 | 61/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 68/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 69/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 78/2 |
| 12 | 14 | 92/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 108/3 |
| 14 | 10 | 118/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 122/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 130/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 133/6 |
| 18 | 14 | 147/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 156/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 160/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.