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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
19 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 72%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Plimmercaught · MJ Banks · SR Asmussen 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MJ Banks · b SR Asmussen | 36 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 109.09 |
| Rebecca Burnsbowled · SG Cornelius 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b SG Cornelius | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| HC Francisbowled · MJ Banks 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b MJ Banks | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · Izzy Sharp · SR Asmussen 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Izzy Sharp · b SR Asmussen | 18 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 85.71 |
| XA Jetlycaught · AG Gerken · MJ Banks 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AG Gerken · b MJ Banks | 27 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 108.00 |
| run out · Izzy Sharp, AG Gerken |
| 18 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 112.50 |
| S Mackindercaught · MJ Banks · Lea Tahuhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MJ Banks · b Lea Tahuhu | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| JA Simmonsrun out · MJ Banks · Lea Tahuhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · MJ Banks | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| INC McKenziebowled · Lauren Smith 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lauren Smith | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| N Bairdrun out · Izzy Sharp, AG Gerken · Lauren Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Izzy Sharp, AG Gerken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| RJ Bryantnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Banks0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
| SG Cornelius0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Lauren Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.48 | 0 | 0 |
 Lea Tahuhu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| SR Asmussen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-5 (Rebecca Burns, 1.1) · 2-13 (HC Francis, 2.3) · 3-60 (Jess Kerr, 9.3) · 4-67 (Georgia Plimmer, 11.1) · 5-108 (XA Jetly, 16.4) · 6-109 (S Mackinder, 17.1) · 7-116 (JA Simmons, 18.0) · 8-119 (Jess McFadyen, 18.4) · 9-126 (N Baird, 19.2) · 10-127 (INC McKenzie, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 49/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 67/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 72/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 76/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 80/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 92/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 105/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 109/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 116/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 124/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 127/10 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lea Tahuhu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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